Finding Edge as a Trader, The Hyperliquid Thesis & Trades For 2026 | Capital Flows
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Alright. Welcome back to another great Thousand X podcast interview. We've got a very special guest today. Somebody that I followed on Twitter for quite some time and continuously puts out very long and informative videos and also I think, has some of the most insightful views on the markets. Welcome capital flows to the 1000x podcast.
Hey. Thanks for, thanks for having me on.
It's really good to it's really good to have you here. I wanna start with the fact that you've built, you know, you you built a pretty strong reputation in the space, as a as a pretty insightful global macro trader to think you you you talk about rates a lot. You talk about FX. You talk about equities. And you also produce these pretty in-depth educational primers, dynamic models on capital flows, which is where your name comes from. I I'm kinda curious as to, like, where where did you get started? Like, how did you get started in this space? Where well, what's what's your background?
Yeah. Well, my my approach has always kind of started with interest rates. I guess my my start was always I was kind of looking and trying to, you know, figure out the macro landscape and, you know, really get a read into how exactly, you know, I can have a a view on kind of the largest drivers and markets and things like that. And I think that over over the years, I have really spent a lot of time focusing and trading interest rates. And, you know, that has been a place that I've spent a lot of time building models, a lot newer stuff these days that, you know, I never even thought I would pro
Were you working on a trading floor at any point in your career? Were were you always interested in finance, or was this, something that you sort of were doing in your spare time and then became your full time?
I haven't worked on, like, the like, a, you know, like a like an investment bank desk or Goldman Sachs or anything like that. A lot of the, I've been at a couple different firms that had a focus on rates and a lot of trading, but my main focus and has at least now is kind of just primarily, managing the capital that I have and running the strategies that I have and then doing some work with family offices and stuff like that. But I would say the majority of the at least the strategies that I run now, and I think a lot of the the work that I do now has been things that I've built individually b
Yeah. For sure. I mean, that makes that make that makes a ton of sense. I am curious. So, like, when you when you first got started in this, I mean, like, when when do you think you've you first really started thinking about this? And the reason that I'm asking you is because the follow-up question is how much do you think the world has the world has changed in in that time? I I think I know I I might know the answer to that, but, you know, I'm I'm kinda curious for your take.
Yeah. You know, I think there's so much I think that has changed in the ability that you have as an individual to, I think, trade and run risk and develop edge. And I think you kind of need to know your lane a little bit and where exactly kind of you're sitting with things. But I think the the microstructure of the market and a lot of other things in terms of the microstructure of the market and also on top of that, the kind of changes that we have seen in the macro regime, with global trade and global liquidity has changed a lot of those kind of aspects. I think all of the money that has flow
So you think I mean, that's a really interesting point to dig down on. You think this is this has become a market for discretionary traders
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