Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise
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People are worried about whether there's gonna be an enduring relationship with, China and Russia. And if you look at this picture, the relations look more glacial than cordial, and the little ones hauling on the arm of the big one. And one wonders about that. So, it turns out my expertise is on Russo Chinese relations, and that's what I studied in graduate school. My dissertation was a history of their border from the Opium Wars in mid nineteenth century until Outer Mongolia was snatched from the Chinese sphere of influence and parked in the Russian sphere in the nineteen twenties. So it's fu
Mercury is my banking platform, and I basically use it to run this whole business. I use it to invoice my sponsors and to automatically pay bills. I even have payroll set up with recurring payments going out to all my editors. But maybe it's not intuitive why it's so helpful to have all of these things run through the same platform. So let me give you an example. As my business has gotten more complicated, in order to figure out how much money I'll have in a week or a month in the future, I need to know not just how much cash we have on hand, but also what our open invoices are with sponsors a
When Russians measure, well, they agree, on that their country always has been, always should be, always will be a great power. But they don't measure it in wealth because their wealth has always been much less than their westward neighbors, although they often confiscate the wealth of other people. So what they measure, their strength, greatness, is in vast territorial extent and the ability to run roughshod over others and make them do whatever it is Russia wants. And also, when they look at their security, they also look at it this way, is that we need this vast territorial extent to be sec
Public benchmarks can be useful, but they don't always measure what you think they do. Take AIMY or HMMMT, which both contain extremely challenging, competition level math problems. Now Labelbox researchers found that some of the larger models were brute forcing their answers through repeated trial and error, and they were sidestepping the very kind of mathematical reasoning that these benchmarks were designed to test in the first place. And on top of this, some of the questions had actually leaked into the model's training data. So when Labelbox researchers swapped in fresh, equally challengi
Well, I gave you all these bad things that Russia had done to China, which are they're not small things. And then isn't the problem with communism is that the economics of it don't actually work, and that fundamentally these two countries are continental powers. They're continental empires. And sure, they change out ideologies. The ideology of the Czar changes out to communism, and China is changing out Confucianism for communism. But the principle that each one should be king of the roost, that hasn't changed. And that would be a mutually exclusive proposition of who's gonna run Asia and then
So I wanna understand, say, Stalin's decisions in particular in in the case of telling the communist during the Chinese civil war that you can go below the Yangtze River so that he can split out the Chinese and so the communist and the nationalist in China and leave China weak. So we know from all the actions in Stalin's life that he was a devoted communist. Right? He does collectivization and almost destroys his regime because he's a devoted communist. At the same time and so communism says that there has to be this worldwide revolution at some point. If there is a worldwide revolution, there
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