Is It Too Late To Buy Election Hedges? | Weekly Roundup

Bullish:

• $BTC - Bullish on Bitcoin due to expected Fed rate cuts in November and December, which would be positive for risk assets.

  • “I think for sure 25 in November, I think a very good chance of 25 in December. And I, and then I think you you kind of reassess and and maybe pause a little there.”

    Tyler·7:55
• $ENERGY - Bullish on energy stocks, which are seen as undervalued in a potential Trump win scenario, with current market conditions showing strong economy but rolling over US production.

  • “I think energy, probably I was looking at this this morning. That's my probably least priced in Trump trade right now because under a current status quo, you have US production rolling over, but still a strong economy.”

    Tyler·27:18
• $MSTR - Bullish on MicroStrategy as its stock is hitting all-time highs before Bitcoin, potentially signaling future Bitcoin price increases as it did in the past.

  • “MicroStrategy is already hitting all time highs right now, while Bitcoin actually isn't yet. And so that's basically, it was the precursor last time as well, which is really interesting.”

    Quinn·48:08
• $CONVERTS - Bullish on convertible bonds due to their potential attractiveness in a changing market environment, especially if fixed debt becomes less desirable.

  • “If fixed income, fixed, like, fixed debt, if that becomes less desirable to hold, does the convert market go freaking bonkers because now you have all these applied vol volatility characteristics in the equity market?”

    Felix·54:09
• $TSLA - Potentially bullish on Tesla due to strong earnings and positive free cash flow, surprising skeptics who doubted the company's financial viability.

  • “Tesla just blew out earnings, and it's actually throwing off free cash flow now. Like, there's a lot of people that thought that that would never happen.”

    Felix·53:40

Bearish:

• $USD - Bearish on the US dollar as technical indicators, including momentum and MACD, suggest potential weakness in the dollar index.

  • “This is the dollar index, the next chart, you'll see the momentum, the MACD and the the DXY is actually turning over here too.”

    Felix·37:34