The Iran War is Accelerating the End of Globalism | Jacob Shapiro

Bullish:

• $ENERGY - Jacob is long energy due to accelerating deglobalization and multipolarity trends, with the Iran conflict serving as an accelerant to existing supply chain disruptions.

  • “I was long energy, I was long fertilizer, I was long food, like all of the things that are being affected by this, I was long for other reasons entirely, which tells you that this is exacerbating those things. It's making things move more quickly than I expected. But if anything, it's an accelerant.”

    Jacob·8:19
• $FERTILIZER - Jacob is long fertilizers as supply chains are lean with no strategic reserves, and farmers have already missed application windows leading to lower yields.

  • “I was long energy, I was long fertilizer, I was long food, like all of the things that are being affected by this, I was long for other reasons entirely”

    Jacob·8:19

  • “Fertilizer is another one of these very lean supply chains where you don't have strategic fertilizer reserves. Fertilizer is really only relevant one or two times a year based on when farmers are planting and when they need the fertilizer.”

    Jacob·21:48

  • “We already missed the window for many farmers throughout the world to apply fertilizer. So you can book in now lower yields in many parts of the world, and rising food prices in those parts of the world.”

    Jacob·22:02
• $FOOD - Jacob is long food commodities expecting rising prices due to fertilizer shortages and supply chain disruptions.

  • “I was long energy, I was long fertilizer, I was long food, like all of the things that are being affected by this, I was long for other reasons entirely”

    Jacob·8:19

  • “So you can book in now lower yields in many parts of the world, and rising food prices in those parts of the world.”

    Jacob·22:06