FSD: Gestalt Shift – Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary

FSD: Gestalt Shift – Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary — Transcript

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Bullish

GOOGL— Google's 4-7% drop on earnings and leadership changes presents a buying opportunity. The company has strong earnings power, talented workforce, and is launching Google Spark AI assistant to Workspace clients. Personnel changes are idiosyncratic events that don't impact long-term earnings generation.
MSFT— Microsoft rallied 40% after disclosing the split between Frontier Labs and enterprise growth, and revealing favorable IP retention and revenue share terms from OpenAI relationship. Investment banks turned bullish on cloud, marking a gestalt shift to consensus.
APP— Applovin dropped 18% post-earnings but showed 50% earnings growth and strong revenue growth. The drop may present an opportunity to increase position size if fundamentals remain strong.
GLD— Commodities including gold are making a comeback after a 7-8 month bear market, driven by Japan and Bessent's intervention to prop up the yen. Kevin Warsh's nomination marked the top in gold, and the trend is now reversing.
NEM— Newmont Mining was picked up as a gold miner play as commodities rally following yen intervention. Gold miners are benefiting from the commodity comeback after a prolonged bear market.
ALB— Albemarle was picked up as a lithium mining play, representing exposure to the commodity comeback and battery/EV supply chain demand.
DATACENTER— SpaceX is actually a data center company now, not a space company, with revenue growth coming from data center operations. This represents a non-consensus view on the company's business model shift.

Bearish

RIVN— Rivian experienced a negative gestalt shift after being a hot stock in 2021. The EV company doesn't make money and is no longer viewed favorably by the market.
LCID— Lucid experienced a negative gestalt shift after being a hot stock in 2021. The EV company doesn't make money and is no longer viewed favorably by the market.

Not investment advice.

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