FSD: Unfinished Business?

Bullish:

• $SHIELDAI - Defense tech company with FSD-enabled drone technology, government backlog, and potential for Palantir-like outcome or acquisition by major defense contractor.

  • “There's a right tail possibility where it gets a Palantir like outcome. They already have hundreds of thousands of people following them on YouTube. It's becoming a cold stock, and it's not even publicly traded yet.”

    Host·15:25

  • “The underwrites, valuation, earnings growth, backlog of governments like Taiwan that want their FSD enabled drone tech. And maybe they get acquired by Andrew Roll. There's lot of ways to win.”

    Host·15:38

Bearish:

• $TSLA - Tesla facing declining new orders and limited free cash flow generation, making it a short candidate.

  • “Tesla's got something like 3 to $6,000,000,000 in free cash flow generation depending on what model you wanna make. New orders are down. I'm probably short Tesla today or I'm I'm in and out of Tesla as a short.”

    Host·8:48
• $XLY - Consumer discretionary ETF being shorted due to weakness in consumer spending from inflation pressures.

  • “You know, we're short XLY ETF, so it's in there.”

    Host·9:03
• $EL - Luxury cosmetics company being shorted as consumers pull back on luxury spending.

  • “We're short, like, Estee Lauder, by the way, and a couple of these luxury names. Why is Ferrari worth more than Google, Meta, and Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor? They're not growing revenue and earnings growth gangbusters.”

    Host·7:26
• $RACE - Ferrari overvalued relative to tech giants without corresponding growth, facing luxury spending headwinds.

  • “I'll tell you why it's down because people aren't spending on luxury.”

    Host·7:22

  • “Why is Ferrari worth more than Google, Meta, and Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor? They're not growing revenue and earnings growth gangbusters. They don't have a big secular growth trend. It's just a brand like Nike.”

    Host·7:31