$TAIWANRISK - Increased geopolitical risk around Taiwan, with a focus on the potential for a blockade rather than an invasion, which could have significant market implications.
$SUPPLYCHAINDISRUPTION - Potential for severe supply chain disruption due to a prolonged blockade of Taiwan, which could have significant market impacts.
Bearish:
$BLACKSWANS - Skepticism towards the relevance of black swan events in geopolitical analysis, suggesting that focusing on unlikely tail risks is overrated.
$INSIDERINTEL - Skepticism towards the value of insider information in geopolitical analysis, suggesting that such intel is not necessarily valuable for accurate forecasting.
$GEOPOLRISK - Skepticism towards overconfidence in geopolitical forecasts, emphasizing the value of exploring multiple scenarios rather than making perfect predictions.